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▲Featured · Highest Divergence
US × Iran Peace Deal by Dec 31
Polymarket · ID 0x4a7f...e9c1
Resolves: Dec 31, 2026 23:59 UTC
Panel 01
The Money
YES
31¢
→ implies 31%
NO
69¢
→ implies 69%
24h vol: $890K Total vol: $4.2M
Recent Whale Trades
0xa3b... NO @ 69¢$45,000
0x91f... YES @ 30¢$22,400
0x77c... NO @ 68¢$18,900
0x52a... NO @ 70¢$14,200
Panel 02
The Mouth
@geopol_intel2h
Trump just teased "huge announcement on Iran" — diplomats from both sides spotted in Doha this morning. This is happening.
↻ 4.2K♡ 18K→ 891K views
@NYTpolitics5h
BREAKING: White House signals breakthrough in Tehran backchannel talks. Senior official: "Closer than we've been in 20 years."
↻ 12K♡ 41K→ 2.1M views
Social Sentiment (24h · 3,847 posts)
71% YES · 29% NO · Trending ↑ across X, Reddit, news
Panel 03
The Edge
Divergence Score
40pt
Twitter is screaming YES. Smart money is quietly stacking NO. Historically, when divergence > 35pt, money wins ~64% of the time.
Money says
31%
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▲Divergence Alerts
4 ACTIVE
Iran peace deal · 40pt gap
Twitter 71% YES vs Money 31% YES
40
BTC $200K EOY · 28pt gap
Reddit bullish vs Money bearish
28
Chiefs SB · 22pt gap
Public on Chiefs · Sharps fading
22
Trump impeached 26 · 18pt gap
News coverage spiking · No money flow
18

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